Profit Simulator
Example Calculations
Three scenarios: a first-time raiser with 10 pigs, a 100-head cooperative batch, and a stress test with rising feed costs and a falling market price. Each one is worked at two selling prices, PSA's and the DA's, because right now they disagree.
The prices these are worked at
- ₱172.62/kg liveweight, Pig farmgate price, backyard farms (PSA), Jun 2026: the newest month PSA has published. Every monthly figure since 2010 .
- ₱150/kg liveweight, the Department of Agriculture's farmgate figure for August 2026, as reported by The Manila Times, 28 Sep 2026 . A DA statement, not a PSA survey reading.
- ₱1,775 per 50 kg sack (₱35.50/kg), the archive's newest feed price reading (2026-10-17) times 50. It is what the simulator's sack field opens at.
The two selling prices are shown side by side and never averaged. A midpoint of a PSA survey and a DA statement is a number nobody published. Use whichever is closer to what your buyer is actually paying, or type your own.
Example 1 of 3
First-Time Raiser — 10 Commercial Hybrid Pigs
Someone raising pigs for the first time: 10 commercial hybrid piglets, standard commercial feeds, and the two selling prices above. This is the scenario most new raisers should model before committing capital.
Inputs
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Breed | Commercial Hybrid |
| Head count | 10 pigs |
| Starting weight | 10 kg |
| Target weight | 100 kg |
| Piglet price | ₱3,500 per head |
| Feed cost | ₱1,775 per 50 kg sack (₱35.50/kg) |
| Average daily gain (ADG) | 0.75 kg/day (grower stage) |
| Mortality | 5% |
| Market price | ₱172.62/kg (PSA Jun 2026) or ₱150/kg (DA Aug 2026) |
Results
| Result | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Surviving pigs | 9 heads | 5% of 10 is half a pig; the simulator rounds survivors down, so 9 pigs carry the cost of 10 |
| Total days | 129 days | about 4.3 months |
| Feed per pig | 225 kg | Across starter, grower and finisher at FCR 2.5 |
| Feed cost per pig | ₱7,793 | ₱34.64/kg blended (starter costs more per kilo, finisher less) |
| Total cost per surviving pig | ₱12,548 | Piglet + feed, mortality-adjusted |
| Breakeven price | ₱125.48/kg | Minimum price that covers piglet + feed |
| Revenue per pig, PSA Jun 2026 | ₱17,262 | 100 kg × ₱172.62/kg |
| Revenue per pig, DA Aug 2026 | ₱15,000 | 100 kg × ₱150/kg |
| Profit per pig, PSA Jun 2026 | ₱4,714 | Before medicine and other costs |
| Profit per pig, DA Aug 2026 | ₱2,452 | Before medicine and other costs |
| Batch profit, PSA Jun 2026 | ₱42,424 | ROI 37.6% on ₱112,934 |
| Batch profit, DA Aug 2026 | ₱22,066 | ROI 19.5% on ₱112,934 |
What this means
At the PSA price the batch ends with a profit of ₱42,424 over about 4.3 months. At the DA's ₱150 it ends with a profit of ₱22,066. Same pigs, same feed. The only thing that changed is whose price you believe, and that alone moves the batch by ₱20,358.
Both figures are before vaccines, medicine, power, water and the pen. The simulator counts the piglet and the feed, nothing else. My all-in backyard cost band is ₱13,000 to ₱16,500 a head (see the cost-to-raise breakdown ), against ₱12,548 here, so the real margin is thinner than this table by whatever your non-feed costs come to.
The breakeven of ₱125.48/kg leaves ₱47.14/kg of room at the PSA price and ₱24.52/kg of room at the DA's. That room disappears quickly when feed rises or the price keeps falling, which is exactly what the stress test in Scenario 3 models.
Bisaya / Cebuano
Napulo ka commercial hybrid nga baboy, gikan 10 kg hangtod 100 kg, ₱3,500 matag biik, ug ₱1,775 ang sako sa pakaon. Sa simulator, ang gasto matag buhi nga baboy ₱12,548, ug ang breakeven ₱125.48/kg.
Kung ibaligya sa ₱172.62/kg (PSA, Jun 2026), ang tibuok batch adunay ganansya nga ₱42,424. Sa ₱150/kg (DA, Agosto 2026), kini mahimong ganansya nga ₱22,066. Managlahi ang duha ka presyo, busa ayaw sila i-average. Gamita ang mas duol sa gibayad sa imong buyer.
Hinumdomi nga biik ug pakaon ra ang giapil sa simulator. Wala pa ang bakuna, tambal, kuryente, tubig ug kulungan, busa ibawas usab kana sa imong ganansya.
How to use this on your farm
- Higher piglet cost (₱4,500): breakeven rises to ₱136.59/kg, up ₱11.11/kg.
- A dealer ₱100 cheaper (₱1,675 a sack): feed cost per pig drops to ₱7,354, a saving of ₱439 a head, and breakeven falls to ₱120.60/kg.
- Higher mortality (10%): the batch still has 9 survivors, because the 5% case already rounds down to one dead pig, so the result does not move. At 20 pigs or more the extra deaths show up straight away.
- ₱130–₱140/kg: producer groups said farmgate was down to ₱130–₱140 in some areas in October (AGAP's Rep. Briones, Daily Tribune, 2 Oct 2026 ). At ₱130 the profit per pig is ₱452; at ₱140 it is ₱1,452, still before medicine and other costs.
Example 2 of 3
Cooperative Scale — 100 Commercial Hybrid Pigs
The same inputs as Scenario 1 but scaled to 100 heads. This models a farmer association or family corporation raising a full commercial batch, where the totals are large enough to justify proper financial planning.
Inputs
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Breed | Commercial Hybrid |
| Head count | 100 pigs |
| Starting weight | 10 kg |
| Target weight | 100 kg |
| Piglet price | ₱3,500 per head |
| Feed cost | ₱1,775 per 50 kg sack (₱35.50/kg) |
| ADG | 0.75 kg/day |
| Mortality | 5% |
| Market price | ₱172.62/kg (PSA Jun 2026) or ₱150/kg (DA Aug 2026) |
Results
| Result | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Surviving pigs | 95 heads | 5 lost to mortality |
| Total days | 129 days | Same as the 10-pig batch |
| Total feed for batch | 22,500 kg | 450 sacks of 50 kg |
| Total investment | ₱1,129,336 | Piglet + feed × 100 pigs |
| Total cost per surviving pig | ₱11,888 | Spread across 95 survivors |
| Breakeven price | ₱118.88/kg | Piglet + feed only |
| Total revenue, PSA Jun 2026 | ₱1,639,890 | 95 pigs × 100 kg × ₱172.62 |
| Total revenue, DA Aug 2026 | ₱1,425,000 | 95 pigs × 100 kg × ₱150 |
| Total profit, PSA Jun 2026 | ₱510,554 | ROI 45.2%, before medicine and other costs |
| Total profit, DA Aug 2026 | ₱295,664 | ROI 26.2%, before medicine and other costs |
What this means
At 100 heads the simulator puts ₱1,129,336 into piglets and feed. The batch ends with a profit of ₱510,554 at the PSA price and a profit of ₱295,664 at the DA's, before medicine, labour and utilities.
Breakeven here (₱118.88/kg) is lower than the 10-pig batch (₱125.48/kg), and the reason is rounding, not scale. Five percent of 10 pigs rounds to one dead pig, which is really 10%. Five percent of 100 is exactly five. On a small batch, every pig you lose is a big share of the herd.
Buying 450 sacks a cycle gives the cooperative real leverage with a feed dealer. ₱100 off each sack is ₱43,906 for the batch.
Bisaya / Cebuano
Ang 100 ka baboy mogamit og mga 450 ka sako sa pakaon, ug ang kapital para sa biik ug pakaon mga ₱1,129,336.
Sa ₱172.62/kg (PSA), ang batch adunay ganansya nga ₱510,554. Sa ₱150/kg (DA, Agosto 2026), ganansya nga ₱295,664. Wala pa niini ang tambal, sweldo ug kuryente.
Ang dakong bentaha sa dako nga batch mao ang negosasyon sa presyo sa pakaon. Kung makakuha kamo og ₱100 nga diskwento matag sako, makadaginot kamo og ₱43,906 sa usa ka batch.
How to use this on your farm
- Cut mortality to 2% through better biosecurity: 98 pigs reach market instead of 95, adding ₱51,786 to the batch at the PSA price and ₱45,000 at the DA's.
- Negotiate ₱1,675 a sack for bulk: batch profit becomes ₱554,460 at the PSA price and ₱339,570 at the DA's.
- Two batches a year (pens for 200 pigs, or staggered batches): double the figures above, then take out medicine, labour and utilities for both.
Example 3 of 3
Stress Test — Feed Costs Up 30%, Market Price Down 15%
This scenario uses the simulator's sensitivity sliders to model a bad-case outcome: feed prices spike by 30% (corn supply tightens, or the peso weakens against imported soybean meal) and the live price drops another 15%. Every raiser should know their numbers under these conditions before they start.
Inputs
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base inputs | Same as Scenario 1 (10 pigs, ₱3,500 piglet, ₱1,775/sack) |
| Sensitivity: feed cost delta | +30% (slider in the simulator) |
| Sensitivity: market price delta | −15% (₱172.62 → ₱146.73/kg from PSA; ₱150 → ₱127.50/kg from DA) |
Results (adjusted)
| Result | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted feed cost per pig | ₱10,131 | Up from ₱7,793 |
| Adjusted total cost per surviving pig | ₱15,146 | Up from ₱12,548 |
| Adjusted breakeven price | ₱151.46/kg | Up from ₱125.48/kg |
| Profit per pig, from PSA Jun 2026 | −₱473 | Revenue ₱14,673 a pig |
| Profit per pig, from DA Aug 2026 | −₱2,396 | Revenue ₱12,750 a pig |
| Batch result, from PSA Jun 2026 | −₱4,259 | ROI −3.1% |
| Batch result, from DA Aug 2026 | −₱21,564 | ROI −15.8% |
What this means
Starting from the PSA price, this stress turns the 10-pig batch into a loss of ₱4,259. Starting from the DA's ₱150, it is a loss of ₱21,564. Elevated feed costs (which track corn and soybean prices) and depressed live prices (gluts, ASF panic selling) have arrived together before, and they catch raisers who only ran the good case.
The breakeven rises to ₱151.46/kg. That is above the DA's August figure of ₱150 itself, before the 15% cut is even applied.
What can you do? Three levers: (1) Lock in feed prices early: buy sacks before prices rise, or negotiate a fixed price with your dealer. (2) Time your sales: pigs sold before a glut command better prices. (3) Lower your breakeven: a cheaper piglet, mixed feeding, or cheaper local feeds, so the margin is wider going in.
Bisaya / Cebuano
Kung mosaka og 30% ang presyo sa pakaon ug moubos og 15% ang presyo sa baboy, ang breakeven mosaka ngadto sa ₱151.46/kg.
Gikan sa presyo sa PSA, ang 15% nga pagkunhod moabot sa ₱146.73/kg ug ang 10 ka baboy adunay pildi nga ₱4,259. Gikan sa ₱150 sa DA, moabot kini sa ₱127.50/kg ug pildi nga ₱21,564.
Unsay buhaton? (1) Palit og pakaon sa sayo sa dili pa mosaka ang presyo. (2) Ibaligya ang baboy sa husto nga panahon, dili kung daghan ang suplay sa merkado. (3) Paubsa ang imong breakeven pinaagi sa mas barato nga biik o sinagol nga pakaon aron mas dako ang imong margin sa pagsugod.
How to use this on your farm
- Use the simulator's sensitivity sliders yourself: set the feed cost delta to +30% and the market price delta to −15% to reproduce this scenario with your own base inputs. Try different combinations to find your personal danger zone.
- A cheaper piglet (₱2,500 instead of ₱3,500): under the same stress the breakeven falls to ₱140.35/kg, and the batch ends with a profit of ₱5,741 from the PSA price and a loss of ₱11,564 from the DA's. Sourcing cheaper piglets is the fastest way to resilience.
- Mixed feeding reduces feed cost sensitivity: if part of the ration is rice bran (darak) or other local feedstuff that did not spike, a 30% jump in commercial feed raises your blended cost by less than 30%.
Model your own numbers
Enter your real piglet cost, feed price, and expected market price. Use the sensitivity sliders to stress-test your plan before you spend a peso.
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