Profit Simulator
Three scenarios — a first-time raiser with 10 pigs, a 100-head cooperative batch, and a stress test with rising feed costs and a falling market price — with full breakdowns and plain-language explanations.
Example 1 of 3
Someone raising pigs for the first time: 10 commercial hybrid piglets, standard commercial feeds, typical Philippine market prices. This is the scenario most new raisers should model before committing capital.
Inputs
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Breed | Commercial Hybrid |
| Head count | 10 pigs |
| Starting weight | 10 kg |
| Target weight | 100 kg |
| Piglet price | ₱3,500 per head |
| Feed cost | ₱1,600 per 50 kg sack (₱32/kg) |
| Average daily gain (ADG) | 0.75 kg/day (breed default) |
| Mortality | 5% |
| Market price | ₱130/kg live weight |
Results
| Result | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Surviving pigs | 9–10 heads | 5% mortality on 10 = 0.5 pigs (rounds to 10 survivors) |
| Total days | ~120 days | ≈ 4 months |
| Feed per pig | ~225 kg | Across all 3 stages using FCR midpoint |
| Feed cost per pig | ~₱7,200 | At ₱32/kg blended |
| Total cost per surviving pig | ~₱10,889 | Piglet + feed, mortality-adjusted |
| Revenue per pig | ₱13,000 | 100 kg × ₱130/kg |
| Profit per pig | ~₱2,111 | Before medicine and other costs |
| Breakeven price | ~₱108.89/kg | Minimum price needed to cover piglet + feed |
| ROI | ~19.4% | On total investment of ₱108,890 |
| Total profit (batch) | ~₱21,110 | For 10 pigs, 4 months |
What this means
A 10-pig batch earns roughly ₱21,000 in profit over 4 months — about ₱5,250 per month — before medicine (typically ₱200–₱400/pig) and other farm costs. Subtract those and real net income runs closer to ₱15,000–₱18,000 for the batch.
The breakeven price of ₱108.89/kg gives you a ₱21/kg margin at today's typical ₱130/kg market. That margin sounds comfortable, but it can disappear quickly if feed costs rise or market prices fall — which is exactly what the stress test in Scenario 3 models.
A 19.4% ROI over 4 months is roughly 58% annualised if you run three cycles per year — well above most savings rates. The challenge is managing risk: disease, market timing, and feed price volatility.
Bisaya / Cebuano
Ang usa ka bag-ong mag-uuma nga nagtamod og 10 ka commercial hybrid nga baboy — gikan 10 kg hangtod 100 kg, ₱3,500 matag piglet, ₱1,600 ang sako — makaganansya og halos ₱21,000 sa tibuok batch pagkahuman og 4 ka buwan. Mao kana mga ₱5,250 matag buwan.
Ang breakeven price mao ₱108.89/kg. Nagpasabot kana nga kinahanglan nga dili moubos sa ₱109/kg ang presyo sa merkado para dili ka malugi. Sa kasagarang presyo nga ₱130/kg karon, aduna ka pa moy ₱21/kg nga margin — apan kon mosaka ang feed prices o mokanaog ang presyo sa baboy, maapektohan kini.
Ang 19.4% ROI sa 4 ka buwan maayo kaayo kon itandi sa bangko. Apan ang kalisod mao ang sakit sa baboy, pagbabago sa presyo, ug ubang risgo. Mao nga importante ang pagplano sa maayo.
How to use this on your farm
Example 2 of 3
The same inputs as Scenario 1 but scaled to 100 heads. This models a farmer association or family corporation raising a full commercial batch. At this scale, economies of scale become visible and the total numbers are large enough to justify proper financial planning.
Inputs
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Breed | Commercial Hybrid |
| Head count | 100 pigs |
| Starting weight | 10 kg |
| Target weight | 100 kg |
| Piglet price | ₱3,500 per head |
| Feed cost | ₱1,600 per 50 kg sack (₱32/kg) |
| ADG | 0.75 kg/day |
| Mortality | 5% |
| Market price | ₱130/kg live weight |
Results
| Result | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Surviving pigs | 95 heads | 5 lost to mortality |
| Total days | ~120 days | Same as 10-pig batch |
| Total feed for batch | ~22,500 kg | ~450 sacks of 50 kg |
| Total investment | ~₱1,070,000 | Piglet + feed × 100 pigs |
| Total cost per surviving pig | ~₱11,263 | Investment spread across 95 survivors |
| Revenue per surviving pig | ₱13,000 | 100 kg × ₱130/kg |
| Total revenue | ₱1,235,000 | 95 pigs × ₱13,000 |
| Total profit | ~₱165,000 | Before medicine and other costs |
| Profit per pig | ~₱1,737 | Lower than 10-pig batch due to mortality spread |
| Breakeven price | ~₱112.63/kg | Slightly higher due to 5% mortality on 100 heads |
| ROI | ~15.4% | On ₱1,070,000 total investment |
What this means
At 100 heads, the batch generates ₱165,000 gross profit in 4 months — roughly ₱41,000/month. After medicine (₱200–₱400/pig × 100 = ₱20,000– ₱40,000), labour, and utilities, realistic net profit for a well-managed operation is ₱120,000–₱140,000 per cycle.
The ROI drops slightly compared to 10 pigs (15.4% vs 19.4%) because mortality matters more at scale: losing 5 pigs out of 100 costs ₱56,315 in spread costs, vs losing 0.5 pigs out of 10. This is why biosecurity and vaccination protocols pay for themselves many times over at commercial scale.
Buying 450 sacks per cycle gives the cooperative real negotiating power with feed dealers. A ₱50/sack discount (₱1,550 vs ₱1,600) saves ₱22,500 for the batch — improving profit by nearly 14% on its own.
Bisaya / Cebuano
Ang 100-ulo nga batch makagamit og halos 450 sako sa feed ug makagasto og ₱1,070,000 (piglet + feed). Pagkahuman og 4 ka buwan, ang gross profit mao ₱165,000 — o mga ₱41,250 matag buwan para sa kooperatiba.
Pagkuha og tambal ug uban pang gastos, ang tunay nga kita halos ₱120,000–₱140,000 matag cycle. Sa duha ka cycle sa usa ka tuig, mao na ₱240,000–₱280,000.
Ang dakong benepisyo sa dako nga batch mao ang negosasyon sa presyo sa feed. Kung makakuha kamo og ₱50 nga diskwento matag sako, makatipid kamo og ₱22,500 sa usa ka batch. Kanang arang-arang lang sa dako nga grupo nga nagkolektibo.
How to use this on your farm
Example 3 of 3
This scenario uses the simulator's sensitivity sliders to model a bad-case outcome: feed prices spike by 30% (common during typhoon season or when corn supply tightens), and the live market price drops to ₱110/kg. This is not a worst-case scenario — it has happened multiple times in the Philippines. Every raiser should know their numbers under these conditions before they start.
Inputs
| Input | Value |
|---|---|
| Base inputs | Same as Scenario 1 (10 pigs, ₱3,500 piglet, ₱1,600/sack, ₱130/kg market) |
| Sensitivity: feed cost delta | +30% (slider in the simulator) |
| Sensitivity: market price delta | -15% (₱130/kg → ₱110.50/kg ≈ ₱110/kg) |
Results (adjusted)
| Result | Value | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Adjusted feed cost per pig | ~₱9,360 | Up from ₱7,200 (+₱2,160) |
| Adjusted total cost per surviving pig | ~₱12,860 | Up from ₱10,889 |
| Adjusted revenue per pig | ~₱11,000 | 100 kg × ₱110/kg |
| Adjusted profit per pig | ~−₱1,860 | A loss of ₱1,860 per pig |
| Adjusted breakeven price | ~₱128.60/kg | Market must be above ₱129 to profit |
| Adjusted total batch loss | ~−₱18,600 | For 10 pigs |
| Adjusted ROI | ~−14.5% | Significant negative return |
What this means
Under this scenario, you lose ₱1,860 per pig — ₱18,600 for the 10-pig batch. This is a real possibility: the combination of elevated feed costs (which track corn and soybean prices globally) and depressed live prices (which happen during gluts or demand shocks) has caught many Philippine raisers off-guard.
The breakeven price under these conditions rises to ₱128.60/kg. That means the market price would need to stay above ₱129/kg for you to break even — uncomfortably close to the ₱110–₱130/kg typical range. There is almost no buffer.
What can you do? Three levers: (1) Lock in feed prices early — buy sacks before prices rise, or negotiate a fixed-price contract with your dealer. (2) Time your sales — pigs sold before a market glut command better prices; know your local market calendar. (3) Reduce your breakeven — negotiate a lower piglet price, switch to mixed feeding, or source cheaper local feeds to push your breakeven price down so the margin is wider going in.
Bisaya / Cebuano
Kon mosaka ang presyo sa feed og 30% ug mokanaog ang presyo sa baboy ngadto sa ₱110/kg, ang imong kita mahimong pagkawala og ₱1,860 matag baboy — o ₱18,600 para sa 10 ka baboy. Kini nahitabo na sa Pilipinas pipila ka beses.
Ang imong breakeven price mosaka ngadto sa ₱128.60/kg. Nagpasabot kana nga kinahanglan ang merkado nga moabot sa ₱129/kg para dili ka malugi — ug kana hapit-hapit na sa kasagarang presyo karon. Diyutay ra ang labaw.
Unsay buhaton? (1) Palit og feed sa daan bago mosaka ang presyo. (2) Ibaligya ang imong baboy sa husto nga panahon — dili kung dako ang suplay sa merkado. (3) Paubosa ang imong breakeven pinaagi sa mixed feeding o mas baratong piglet para mas dako ang imong margin sa pagsugod.
How to use this on your farm
Model your own numbers
Enter your real piglet cost, feed price, and expected market price. Use the sensitivity sliders to stress-test your plan before you spend a peso.
Open the Profit Simulator →